swot analysis of trump vs biden

Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. One similarity in coverage of the two most recent administrations has been the main source cited in news stories: Just as the Trump administration was by far the most cited source in news stories soon after Trump became president (cited in 74% of stories), so is the Biden administration the most cited source now (82%). One other key difference was that in 2017 the new presidents political skills was the most covered topic, while it ranked fifth in 2021. The pandemic has allowed Biden not only to attack Trump with a bogus but emotionally powerful charge, but also to hide in his basement literally from serious criticism. Outlets with right-leaning audiences presented a primarily negative view of the new Biden administration. News coverage of President Joe Bidens early days in office was modestly more negative than positive, and most of the stories were centered around his ideology and policy agenda rather than his character and leadership a contrast with coverage of former President Donald Trump at the start of his administration, according to a new Pew Research Center study that examines media coverage of the new administration. However, when comparing Clintons voters with Bidens, there are some significant shifts. This is the latest report in Pew Research Centers ongoing investigation of the state of news, information and journalism in the digital age, a research program funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, with generous support from the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation. But when the number of people crossing into the US from Mexico without authorization swiftly increased, his more tempered tactics became a political liability, giving Republicans fuel to spin false yet convincing to some narratives about an open and mismanaged border. Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. Notably, Boomers and Silents (and the very small number of voters from the Greatest Generation) made up less than half of the electorate in 2020 (44%), compared with just over half in both 2016 and 2018. This survey was conducted March 8-14, 2021, before the fatal shooting of six Asian women and two other people in the Atlanta area on March 16 and before the trial of Derek Chauvin began on March 29. The claim: Joe Biden added more jobs in a single month than Donald Trump netted during his entire term. What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. Roughly half of U.S. adults (52%) said they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders to reverse many Trump administration policies. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. The survey panel also makes it possible to examine change in turnout and vote preference over time among many of the same individuals. We compare and contrast. The historical comparison is conducted across a smaller universe of outlets that existed during all five study periods, representing a mix of print publications and network evening news. Yet parallels exist. Roughly two-thirds of Trump voters (68%) said they voted in person, either on (38%) or before (30%) Election Day. Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. Immigrants of color made headlines for supposedly coming here from shithole countries, and Mexican immigrants were called drug dealers, criminals and rapists. In the 2016 election, Donald Trump won men by 11 percentage points (52% to 41%) while Hillary Clinton won women by 15 points (54% to 39%). This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). For more details, see the methodology. Fully 78% of the stories from outlets with predominantly right-leaning audiences carried a negative assessment. Many people subjected to this policy often referred to by its shorthand, Title 42 have been stranded in or expelled to dangerous conditions in Mexico, or else swiftly returned to the unstable and sometimes life-threatening realities at home that many of them risked life and limb to escape. A majority of stories for all three outlets groups had at least some reference to the coronavirus. At the same time, Trumps vote share among White women without a college degree grew slightly between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. A women in Texas protests against Title 42 during a march in solidarity with migrants coming to the border. About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. In The Times' latest average, President Biden's favorable rating is 44% and his unfavorable rating is 52% a positive net of about -8 percentage points. This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). Three-quarters of those who get their news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences say the subject of racial equality gets too much attention, far more than among those with a mixed-audience media diet (41%) and a left-only diet (13%). Joe Biden understands that is an irrefutable source of our strength.. Assessment of the Biden administration:In this analysis, each statement in a story (made by a source or the reporter him or herself) was analyzed to determine how, if at all, it assessed President Biden and his administrations actions or words. In 2020, the age profiles of Democratic and Republican voters looked largely similar to 2016. Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. In looking at how the exposure to news stories lines up with the topics that received more or less coverage in Part 1, the two storylines Americans were most likely to have heard a lot about passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the vaccine align with the two topic areas to receive the most coverage: the economy and health care. The media has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be the DNCs choice for President. Getty Meanwhile in one Premise poll, Trump led the president 45 to 44. Update (Oct. 8): Updated with Biden's continued refusal to clarify his stance on court packing. These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each partys coalition in 2016. Biden took 98% of the vote among liberal Democrats and leaners and 91% among those who are moderate or conservative. In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. Its unclear what Biden has done in the past 40+ years to help heal race issues The political split between Americas rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020. So are Bidens border policies turning into a copy of Trumps? First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . Let's look at the overall sentiment. Biden looks stupid for attacking monuments and historical figures who are long gone The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. While Trump announced Nov. 15 that he would mount a third bid for the White House in 2024, Biden has . Adults with a high school education or less were 29% of all voters but half of nonvoters. Outlets with left-leaning or mixed audiences, on the other hand, gave greatest attention to the economy and to health care, each of which was the focus of 18% or more of stories for both media groups, while immigration amounted to 8% and 10% for each. In outlets with a more mixed audience, the coverage of the Biden administration was also mixed: 25% of the stories had a positive assessment, 24% had a negative one and 51% were neither positive nor negative. Stories were collected from television, radio, digital and print outlets and coded by a team of nine coders trained specifically for this project. Voters dont like Biden blaming Trump for the coronavirus, seeing it as playing politics falsely A majority of absentee voters said they had previously voted this way before the 2020 election (56%). It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. The conclusion, at least according to the National Pulse, is simple: Voters are having buyer's remorse on Biden - and wish they had given Trump a second term.. College graduates made up 39% of all voters in 2020 (about the same as in 2016) but only 17% of nonvoters. One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. Roughly half (49%) knew that the administration has both reentered the Paris agreement and rescinded construction permits for the Keystone XL pipeline, 43% correctly said that the administration has stopped federal funding for the border wall but not ordered that the wall be dismantled, and 33% knew at the time of the survey that the Biden administration was meeting its goal of vaccinating 1 million Americans per day. That puts Harris' rating under . Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct Given the change in the media landscape, we used the seven sampled media organizations that have persisted since 1993: the nightly evening news on ABC, CBS, NBC and PBS, as well as the print editions of The New York Times, The Washington Post and Newsweek across the first 60 days for each of the five presidencies. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans voted in 2020 and how their turnout and vote choices differed from 2016 and 2018. In 2020, 46% of Biden voters had at least a college degree; 53% did not have a degree. Donald Trump is already signaling that he will run for president in 2024. Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. FILE - Former President Donald Trump announces a third run for president as he speaks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Nov. 15, 2022. Unaccompanied children are exempt from Title 42, so some parents make the difficult choice to send their kids across the border alone, even when that means indefinite time apart. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. The Left is too quick to call many people racist without valid reason "There's no way he can protect preexisting conditions. Finally, what opportunities the voters see for Trump: Voters doubt Biden can do what hes saying hell do Trump . The survey respondents in this study are grouped according to the audience makeup of outlets they turned to for political news in the past week. Fewer had heard a lot about the other topics mentioned, such as the pursuit of talks with Iran (just 10% said they had heard a lot). But attention varied across the media groups, with Americans who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences least likely to be following news about the Biden administration very closely (16%) and their counterparts on the right almost twice as likely to do so (30%). Trump runs his mouth too much (but he gets the job done) The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Today, 52% of registered voters say that if the election were held today, they would cast their vote for Biden; a smaller share of registered voters say they would cast their ballot for Trump . Voters think Trump cannot be bought News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. These strengths tie Trump to key issues, like the Economy and Leadership in times of crisis. Voters broadly want a national discussion on race, but they dislike having politicians running that discussion or setting the rules for it Voters believe Biden will bring respect back to the presidency and to our country. Others die trying to circumvent closed-off points of entry. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. Voters who were unaffiliated with any religious tradition (atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as nothing in particular) made up 35% of Biden voters but just 14% of Trump voters in 2020. In 2016, White, non-college women supported Trump by a margin of 56% to 33%. By comparison, just 2% of voters chose a third-party candidate in 2020. Although turnout was strong, stark demographic differences between voters and nonvoters similar to those seen in past U.S. elections were present in 2020, a pattern familiar to political observers. Urban and suburban voters were considerably more likely than rural voters to say they cast their ballot by mail (50% of urban and suburban vs. 35% of rural voters). The COVID-19 pandemic has been such a pervasive part of recent news that its presence in coverage was measured separately. See here to read more about the questions used for this reportand the reports methodology. That's because the 2024 Republican primary will not be a two-person race. To do this, the survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, on Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel, asked respondents to indicate whether they got political news in the past week from each of 25 national news outlets (the same outlets as in the content study see Appendix A for details). Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. Among the 5% of Democrats who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, just 8% supported Trump in 2020 while 85% voted for Biden. Biden has made a lot of verbal blunders of late, which makes him look mentally troubled Generation Xers, those ages 40 to 55 in 2020, divided relatively evenly (51% to 48%), as did Baby Boomers. Among nonvoters in 2020, 46% were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican. The 2020 election featured continuity in the voting patterns of major demographic and political groups in the population, but there were a few important shifts. In March 2020, during a . Trumps honesty appears challenged All rights reserved. Biden received the support of 92% of Black voters, nearly the same as Clinton received in 2016 and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House received in 2018. 3. Trump has grown weary of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media has used to damage his image. DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN Money - His net worth is estimated to be about$4,500,000,000. One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. Trumps tweets sometimes hurt his cause and image. A Biden-Trump rematch risks worsening our country's already deep divisions. And rural voters remain a significantly larger portion of the Republican electorate. Vaccine distribution was the one storyline the groups with media diets on the left or tending left had heard considerably more about than the right-only or tend-right groups. Racial inequality is the topic that the highest percentage of Americans say is getting too much attention (36%), though the sense overall is divided, with 28% saying the issue is getting too little attention and 35% saying the level of coverage given to racial inequality is about right.3. Biden has soft advantages here, but these threats could keep Trump from winning critical independents and moderates in the election if he ignore them. Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. Americans compare presidents all the time. The problem for Biden is that sooner or later he does have to go out and campaign, and A lot of the voters who give Biden their support right now do so softly and without commitment; Trump can win them to his side in some cases, or convince them to just stay home. And in each of the three main media groupings studied, at least 59% of the stories were oriented around policy and agenda. To be sure, Hispanic voters are not a monolith; there is substantial diversity within the Hispanic electorate. Vulnerable migrants were mounting an invasion, Trump said. The list is fairly long and growing: Voter surveys conducted for major news organizations, including the exit polls by Edison Research for the National Election Pool and AP VoteCast by NORC at the University of Chicago for the Associated Press and Fox News; the. Wizbang is a registered service mark. A new analysis of validated 2020 voters from Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel examines change and continuity in the electorate, both of which contributed to Bidens victory. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. At the same time, the publics sense of news coverage of the Biden administration is more positive than the study of the news coverage reveals: 46% of U.S. adults say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration offered mostly positive assessments, far more than the 14% who say theyve seen mostly negative ones. This is important because The impeachment put a bad taste in the mouth of voters who now apply that to new conditions At the same time, Bidens advantage over Trump among Hispanic voters who did not have a college degree was far narrower (55% to 41%). Trumps stronghold among White men without a four-year college degree loosened somewhat in 2020. About Voters would much rather Trump let his work speak for him Trump was eventually forced to end these hyper-visible family separations, but he continued to advance hardline practices that adversely affected children and families seeking help at the USs south-west boundary, whether stranding young kids in US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice) custody or in hazardous Mexican border towns. These patterns also are apparent when the lens is shifted to birth cohorts, or generations groups of voters who share birth years and perhaps formative political experiences in common, such as the popularity of the president at the time they were first eligible to vote. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. Under the. Among white women with a college degree, support for Biden was on par with support for Clinton in 2016 (59%-40% in 2020). The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. Thestock market has hitrecord high after record high, helping moreAmericans build wealthand secure their futures." Outlets with right-leaning audiences had fewer stories in which COVID-19 was a major focus (meaning it was a part of half or more of the story): 29%, versus 45% of the left-leaning audience outlets and 44% in the mixed audience group. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, highest-turnout midterm election in decades, emerged in the 2004 presidential election, Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement, Demographic profiles of Trump and Biden voters, Voting methods in the 2020 presidential election, A voter data resource: Detailed demographic tables about verified voters in 2016, 2018, What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion, Interactive map: The changing racial and ethnic makeup of the U.S. electorate, In Changing U.S. Electorate, Race and Education Remain Stark Dividing Lines, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. 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swot analysis of trump vs biden